QQQ / SQQQ Dynamic Hedge Studio

Explore valuation-aware hedge ratios, margin impacts, and return quality for a combined short QQQ + short SQQQ overlay using BacktestJS with daily data.

Backtest Controls

Choose a training sample and evaluation window. The optimizer fits hedge ratios using the training range you specify, then applies them inside the backtest window.

Training Sample

Backtest Window

Financing & Carry

持仓设置

Optimization Goal
Margin requirement SQQQ (short): 35% Margin requirement QQQ (short): 12%

Training uses all observations before the start date. Borrow + dividend drag applied daily. BacktestJS powers the execution engine when available; a local fallback keeps results responsive offline.

Current Valuation Snapshot

Latest NDX PE Percentile
SQQQ Short (单位) 1.00
QQQ Short (单位)
QQQ / SQQQ 比率
Margin Utilization

Cumulative Return

Annualized Return

Sharpe Ratio

Annualized Std Dev

Max Drawdown

Avg / Max Margin

优化后的估值分段配置

SQQQ 固定为 1 单位,QQQ 单位数根据优化目标和持仓天数自动调整。配置会根据训练期数据优化以最大化选定的目标(Sharpe / 降低回撤 / 降低波动)。

💡 提示:持仓天数不同会产生不同的最优配置。天数越长,调整频率越低,配置会更保守。

Percentile
PE 范围
QQQ / SQQQ 比率
Training 样本数

Training Sample

Awaiting first optimization…

Testing Period 可视化

根据优化后的估值分段配置显示 Testing Period 的 QQQ 价格和 NDX PE 走势,不同颜色代表不同百分位区间

Training vs Testing 回测对比

对比训练期和测试期的表现,检查策略是否过拟合

指标 Training Period Testing Period
时间区间
交易天数
策略累计收益
纯 Short SQQQ 累计收益
年化收益
Sharpe Ratio
年化波动率
最大回撤
平均保证金
最大保证金
胜率
盈亏比

Equity Curve

资金曲线,初始资金 $1.00。按设定的再平衡频率调整持仓。鼠标悬停查看估值百分位和保证金使用。

Borrow + dividends deducted pro-rata (per trading day).

BacktestJS results, local fallback if CDN unavailable.

Training Period Equity Curve

训练期资金曲线对比,检查策略在训练期的表现。

回撤对比

策略回撤 vs 纯做空 SQQQ 回撤。数值越低表示回撤越大。

优化过程分析 - 为什么选择这些 QQQ/SQQQ 比率?

展示每个 Percentile 区间的优化过程,帮助理解为什么算法选择特定的 QQQ/SQQQ 比率

Hedge Ratio Blueprint

Step function of the optimized QQQ vs SQQQ shorts per valuation percentile.

Margin Load Timeline

Indicates combined Reg-T style requirement for maintaining the paired shorts.

Exposure Timeline

持仓单位数时间线(SQQQ 固定 1 单位,QQQ 根据估值调整)

Valuation & Hedge Signal

Compares NDX PE percentile against the applied QQQ/SQQQ ratio.